Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.000140 0.000156 0.000173 0.000192 0.000213 0.000236 0.000263
2025-10-12 0.000119 0.000141 0.000165 0.000195 0.000230 0.000270 0.000321
2025-10-19 0.000102 0.000127 0.000157 0.000195 0.000243 0.000300 0.000375
2025-10-26 0.000090 0.000116 0.000150 0.000195 0.000254 0.000328 0.000431
2025-11-02 0.000079 0.000107 0.000143 0.000193 0.000262 0.000353 0.000483
2025-11-09 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000193 0.000272 0.000380 0.000542
2025-11-16 0.000063 0.000092 0.000132 0.000191 0.000279 0.000403 0.000595
2025-11-23 0.000058 0.000086 0.000127 0.000191 0.000287 0.000428 0.000653
2025-11-30 0.000053 0.000082 0.000124 0.000191 0.000296 0.000455 0.000717
2025-12-07 0.000049 0.000077 0.000119 0.000189 0.000301 0.000476 0.000772
2025-12-14 0.000046 0.000074 0.000118 0.000192 0.000315 0.000511 0.000853
2025-12-21 0.000043 0.000071 0.000116 0.000193 0.000325 0.000541 0.000927
2025-12-28 0.000040 0.000068 0.000113 0.000193 0.000332 0.000567 0.000999
2026-01-04 0.000038 0.000066 0.000112 0.000197 0.000347 0.000608 0.001099
2026-01-11 0.000035 0.000063 0.000110 0.000197 0.000357 0.000639 0.001186
2026-01-18 0.000033 0.000060 0.000108 0.000197 0.000365 0.000669 0.001273
2026-01-25 0.000031 0.000057 0.000105 0.000196 0.000370 0.000694 0.001351
2026-02-01 0.000029 0.000055 0.000102 0.000196 0.000378 0.000725 0.001445
2026-02-08 0.000027 0.000053 0.000099 0.000194 0.000382 0.000748 0.001526
2026-02-15 0.000026 0.000050 0.000097 0.000193 0.000389 0.000776 0.001618
2026-02-22 0.000024 0.000049 0.000096 0.000194 0.000397 0.000809 0.001724
2026-03-01 0.000023 0.000047 0.000093 0.000192 0.000401 0.000832 0.001809
2026-03-08 0.000022 0.000046 0.000093 0.000195 0.000416 0.000880 0.001953